AJ Mysterio 1,494 Posted February 18, 2020 Report Share Posted February 18, 2020 Let’s do this. Let’s start with who you guys think will win the nominations? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Conan Edogawa 837 Posted February 18, 2020 Report Share Posted February 18, 2020 I'm gonna take a real bold guess here, and say that DJT wins the Republican nomination. W.R to the Democratic nomination - right now Bernie is slightly pulling ahead over a crowded field(sort of like the 2016 Rep. nominations) If that trend of Bernie slightly pulling ahead of the other Dem candidate continues, then he may win a majority of delegates and secure the nomination - or not; he might win only a plurality(both are just as likely to occur, according to 538) And Bernie might just win the nomination even then - the DNC can argue all day and night on how you need 50% of the delegates to win the nomination, but if he's at, say, 40%, and the other candidates are struggling below his numbers, they would have a hard time justifying nominating another candidate. If Biden or one of the lower-polling people drop out(seems likely for Klobuchar soon enough), it could decrease Bernie's chance to win. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Gramps 2,227 Posted February 18, 2020 Report Share Posted February 18, 2020 I think it will eventually come down to a three way race between Bernie, Warren, and Biden. Out of these three, if Biden drops out early enough (maybe around the time of Super Tuesday?), I believe Elizabeth Warren will win. Otherwise, in the event of a three way deadlock till the end, I believe Bernie will win the nomination. The one thing that may change this is the super delegates, which may give Warren a slight edge. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Conan Edogawa 837 Posted February 18, 2020 Report Share Posted February 18, 2020 If the superdelegates attempted to (all or mostly) attach to a non-Bern candidate while he has a good 5 to 9 percent lead in terms of delegates, and gave that candidate the nomination, there would be such an uproar from the more left-wing contingents that would render any Dem win in 2020 moot. So if Bernie can maintain a decent lead; it'll all be good for him. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Liberty 2,305 Posted February 19, 2020 Report Share Posted February 19, 2020 i don’t like any of them screw the government lol 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Archduke Waffle 128 Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 Since its pretty much safe to assume that Biden will be the Dem nominee, who do you guys think he'll pick as a running mate? My top two predictions are either Stacey Abrams or Kamala Harris, but I think the two wildcards he may pick would be Michelle Grisham (New Mexican Governor) or Sally Yates (Former Attorney General of the US). He's also mentioned Jeanne Shaheen & Maggie Hassan, both of which are sitting Senators from New Hampshire. It's a state Hillary won by only about 3,000 votes in 2016, and its likely that the President will be spending a lot of time and money there in 2020. My final guess is Gretchen Whitmer, the attractive 48 year old governor from Michigan. It's a 16-vote-state that a nobody expected Trump to win in 2016, and given that 2020 is shaping up to be a close race between the President and the former Vice President, it's virtually impossible for a Democratic candidate to reach 270 without Michigan. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Agent P 2,480 Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 6 hours ago, Archduke Waffle said: Since its pretty much safe to assume that Biden will be the Dem nominee, who do you guys think he'll pick as a running mate? My top two predictions are either Stacey Abrams or Kamala Harris, but I think the two wildcards he may pick would be Michelle Grisham (New Mexican Governor) or Sally Yates (Former Attorney General of the US). He's also mentioned Jeanne Shaheen & Maggie Hassan, both of which are sitting Senators from New Hampshire. It's a state Hillary won by only about 3,000 votes in 2016, and its likely that the President will be spending a lot of time and money there in 2020. My final guess is Gretchen Whitmer, the attractive 48 year old governor from Michigan. It's a 16-vote-state that a nobody expected Trump to win in 2016, and given that 2020 is shaping up to be a close race between the President and the former Vice President, it's virtually impossible for a Democratic candidate to reach 270 without Michigan. I wouldn't be surprised if it's Warren. They need to appeal to the progressive wing (honestly it won't work after all the bullshit that happened w Bernie but I feel like they'll try). Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Archduke Waffle 128 Posted March 23, 2020 Report Share Posted March 23, 2020 7 minutes ago, Agent P said: I wouldn't be surprised if it's Warren. They need to appeal to the progressive wing (honestly it won't work after all the bullshit that happened w Bernie but I feel like they'll try). True. I thought about Warren, but I think she may be too far left for Biden. And I think the ship has sailed when it comes to Biden bringing people over from the Bernie crowd. If Sanders isn't the nominee, I can plausibly see the "Bernie or bust" crowd staying home on election day, regardless of who Biden's VP is. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Archie 1,560 Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 6 hours ago, Agent P said: I wouldn't be surprised if it's Warren. They need to appeal to the progressive wing (honestly it won't work after all the bullshit that happened w Bernie but I feel like they'll try). You're going to vote this time, right? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Conan Edogawa 837 Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 14 hours ago, Archduke Waffle said: Since its pretty much safe to assume that Biden will be the Dem nominee, who do you guys think he'll pick as a running mate? My top two predictions are either Stacey Abrams or Kamala Harris, but I think the two wildcards he may pick would be Michelle Grisham (New Mexican Governor) or Sally Yates (Former Attorney General of the US). He's also mentioned Jeanne Shaheen & Maggie Hassan, both of which are sitting Senators from New Hampshire. It's a state Hillary won by only about 3,000 votes in 2016, and its likely that the President will be spending a lot of time and money there in 2020. My final guess is Gretchen Whitmer, the attractive 48 year old governor from Michigan. It's a 16-vote-state that a nobody expected Trump to win in 2016, and given that 2020 is shaping up to be a close race between the President and the former Vice President, it's virtually impossible for a Democratic candidate to reach 270 without Michigan. Hmmmm. I think there will be substantial pressure from Dems for the VP to be a POC, and a woman at that, so Abrams/Harris are indeed alright choices. Grisham is good; she's rather competent at her job, so that works as well. NH & Mich swung to the Dems in the 2018 midterms(Sununu is one of those moderate New England Rep. governors, unlike Trump, who is -18 in terms of his approval margin in NH), but it'd still be good to help shore up the vote there. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Agent P 2,480 Posted March 27, 2020 Report Share Posted March 27, 2020 On 3/24/2020 at 9:53 AM, Archie said: You're going to vote this time, right? Yes most probably 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.